Thursday, 22 December 2011

22/12/11 A childish, unchallenged competitor to the religion of Climate Change [CC] - a new cult?

Thursday, 22 Dec 2011
A childish, unchallenged  competitor to the religion of Climate Change [CC] -  a new cult?
Brent Walker [Letters 22/12  Of sun and ice ] has made a minor allusion to the seemingly never mentioned quasi - religious, infantile weather bureau scam of El Nino [boy child] and it's asinine obverse La Nina [ girl child]

Essentially it is as puerile as so - called climate change - which has been appended by leftist high - priests whenever it is hot or cold - wet or dry - mild weather or cyclone manifests.
Would you believe the twirps could conjour a  childish, unchallenged  competitor to CC -  a new cult?
Jesus [boy child / El Nino] or Mary [girl child La Nina] derivated astonishingly - obviously -  from jejune derivations of leftist Christianity.
It is that time of year that Christians - those not esconsed in the need to find defacto sanctuary in nascent cults to object to the twirps of the science faculties: enough of this offensive juvenile offence to their founder! 

  1. How can the scientific. intellectul, political classes be so besotted with their ascientific leanings as to create two cults?

Geoff Seidner
13 Alston Grove
East St Kilda 3183
03 9525 9299

See below the letter to editor today in The Australian and yesterday's lame article by new Oz journalist Amos Aikman 

Of sun and ice

The Australian - 8 hours ago
Sometimes these changes in the sun cause conditions known as little ice ages that can last for centuries. On other occasions the grand solar minimum lasts ...

Of sun and ice

THE record-breaking ice floes off eastern Antarctica and the grey skies over Australia (21/12) are related. The relationship is not just this La Nina.
The primary reason for this continuing weather phenomenon is a temporary condition of the sun, a grand solar minimum. Sometimes these changes in the sun cause conditions known as little ice ages that can last for centuries. On other occasions the grand solar minimum lasts only a few decades before the sun's stronger warming phase returns.
There are many recent papers on the condition of the sun, its emissions and why it has warming and cooling cycles. They tend to show that the sun's power over the climate is much greater than any influence mankind could have. So the grey skies and ice are extremely inconvenient for some because after a few more years of cooler weather there will be few who still believe in other scientific theories, let alone the utility of any tax based on such theories.
Brent Walker, Killcare, NSW

  1. News for singing the blues in the greys

    1. Singing the blues in the greys

      The Australian - 1 day ago
      A rainbow over Mona Vale beach in Sydney marks the end of yet another storm. Picture: John Grainger Source: The Daily Telegraph A CHILL wind gusts down your ...
      12 related articles


    Singing the blues in the greys

    A rainbow over Mona Vale beach in Sydney marks the end of yet another storm. Picture: John Grainger Source: The Daily Telegraph
    A CHILL wind gusts down your collar, rain buffets your face and then, whup, your umbrella turns inside out, signalling a long, wet walk home -- surely nothing better marks out the joys of a British summer?
    Normally, by the time the cricket comes south, east coast Aussies would be squirming beneath their bedsheets, slapping the dark for those pesky midnight mosquitoes. Their southern counterparts, particularly Melburnians, would be enjoying the warm edition of their favourite four seasons in one day, while northerners sweltered. And Perth types would be washing the dust from their mouths with a crisp glass of chardonnay or a cool beer.
    Instead, most of us have been shivering under our brollies.
    Besides bringing their bad economic climate south, this summer's European tourists seem to have packed their wet weather, too. It may be only December, but records lie in tatters, hopes and bets dashed and parties cancelled -- and no one has yet bowled a Boxing Day ball.
    To name a few fancy figures, Sydney has had its coldest start to summer in 51 years; Melbourne its wettest since 1993. The rural NSW towns of Dubbo and Orange have had their coldest summers on record so far, and beach-goers from Batemans Bay to Broome are wondering what the heck is going on -- long pants and sweaters, mainly. The source of all this, however, is not European tourists, as
    I have rudely suggested, but a tourist from the Pacific: La Nina.
    The coupled ocean-atmosphere phenomenon, which like its brother, El Nino, carelessly drags cold and warm water respectively back and forth across the Pacific, leaving climatic chaos in its wake, is holidaying down under again this year -- although not quite with last year's gusto.
    The 2010-11 season was hit by one of the strongest La Ninas on record. It brought heavy rain that drenched Australia's eastern coast. A sequence of storms caused serious crop damage in northern NSW; flash flooding in Queensland claimed dozens of lives; and more damage was done to property and farmland as water in both states moved downstream.
    Finally, Cyclone Yasi and its mates wrecked parts of Australia's north coast, ending in a blitz of chaos, and rain dropped carelessly on southeastern states.
    The Southern Oscillation Index, a measure of La Nina, is currently at +21, up from +17 last week, according to the Weather Channel's senior meteorologist Tom Saunders. Even though that is similar to this time last year, and well above the threshold La Nina value of +8, other indicators such as sea-surface temperatures and equatorial cloud cover are weaker.
    Forecasters predict a wet summer for much of the country, but are hopeful we can avoid the sort of devastation seen last year. The latest national outlook issued by the Bureau of Meteorology predicts southeast Queensland and eastern NSW will have a wetter-than-normal season from next month. Brisbane and Sydney rainfall totals for this year have already topped their long-term averages and places such as Coffs Harbour on the NSW north coast have reported an annual dumping of more than a third above their long-term average.
    On the NSW central coast, rainfall for the year is up nearly 50 per cent on the average.
    NSW Emergency Services Minister Michael Gallacher yesterday threw in the towel for another shire (Bland Shire in the central west), issuing it with a disaster declaration. The move brings the total number of declarations since last month to 16, and could be seen as playing Santa, as it brings extra money for rebuilding.
    "Some communities have suffered extensive damage to their homes, businesses, roads and infrastructure from the severe weather and this will provide them with some reprieve to get back on track," Gallacher has said in a statement.
    A severe thunderstorm warning issued on Monday evening covering large parts of eastern NSW warned residents to expect large hailstones, very heavy rainfall, flash flooding and damaging winds overnight. In the event, conditions were not as bad as expected. Parts of Victoria, however, suffered a deluge on Sunday, with wild hail, thunder and flash flooding that left towns such as Stawell in the state's west with streets flooded and households in pools of mud.
    Whyalla in South Australia reported golf-ball-sized hailstones on Saturday and 25mm of rain in 10 minutes; Buckland Park on the outskirts of Adelaide reported 34mm in one hour. The bureau says a persistently warm Indian Ocean and cool conditions in the tropical Pacific associated with La Nina are driving the summer outlook. Southerly winds and increased cloud cover have also contributed to cool, wet conditions thus far, according to Saunders.
    Much of Western Australia is likely to experience a wetter summer season than usual, but large areas of central and southern Australia are more likely to be drier than average, the bureau's forecast says. Southeastern Australia can expect warmer days between next month and March, while WA is likely to be cool.
    Sadly for sun-chasers, much of the wet weather will be in areas where most Australians live. Even the Christmas forecast is looking gloomy. Perth is looking like the place to be, with sunshine forecast, and Sydney might get a cool, clear Christmas Day. But for the other capitals the Weather Channel predicts sunshine and showers -- which we all know can be weatherman's shorthand for whatever you want. If this year's Yuletide shrimps are not to be barbecued with little cocktail umbrellas atop, Australians should ask Santa for a whole lot of luck.
    Watch out in particular if you live in the Top End, where forecasters are predicting a cyclone could emerge by the weekend.
    Angeline Prasad, a senior BOM forecaster in Darwin, says there is a greater than 50 per cent chance a monsoon trough off the coast will become a low in the Arafura Sea.
    "This system has got a significant chance of developing into a tropical cyclone by the weekend," Prasad says.
    Any cyclone that forms will probably strike Australia between Friday and Sunday, somewhere along the coast from the Kimberley to the Gulf of Carpentaria -- bad news for Darwin, where the 1974 Christmas cyclone, Cyclone Tracy, killed 71 people and destroyed most of the town.
    Queensland, too, should watch out: Saunders says a a monsoonal trough has already formed a tropical low in the Coral Sea that could deepen into a cyclone, although it is likely to remain offshore.
    "(The low) will cause a slight increase in wind and showers on the southern Queensland coast, and will cause a big swell by Saturday," Saunders says.
    There is also potential for another major outbreak of thunderstorms from Sunday over southeastern Australia.
    All this bad weather, however, has not stopped our foreign friends from coming.
    "The devastating floods experienced in Queensland, Victoria and northern NSW, Cyclone Yasi and, more recently, the bushfires in Margaret River -- these all (affected) local operators to varying degrees," says Tourism Australia's managing director Andrew McEvoy.
    "One of the biggest challenges faced by many tourism operators in Queensland this year was the negative publicity and perception that the whole state was either under water or had been flattened by storms, when the actual impact was quite localised.
    "Despite all of this well-reported weather, Australia's inbound numbers and the value of international travel has grown, as has the domestic tourism market."
    Farmers may not count themselves so lucky. In Western Australia -- an uncommon place to find an English summer -- oat farmer Bernie Panizza curses the wild swings in weather patterns after his crop was flattened last week by 160mm of rain in a single day.
    Last year southern WA suffered its driest year on record. A wet spring had already delayed the harvest, but the recent drenching has turned many farmers' lands too muddy and soft for machinery to drive on. And yet the bureau says the wet weather has not broken the drought so far.
    NSW Farmers warns that the east-coast rains have again come at an inopportune time, causing the downgrading of many winter crops, particularly in central and southern parts of the state, and large areas of summer crops in the north would also be affected. In some cases, high-quality wheat has become cattle feed.
    "We have had reports of some irrigated cotton areas faring relatively well following the floods, while some dryland cropping areas (are) running into problems with the water not running away," according to a spokeswoman for NSW Farmers.
    "On the other hand, the widespread rain has provided relief and hope for graziers. Rains through spring and into summer have meant that there has been good pasture growth across much of the state, providing a good base heading into summer."
    And so it goes, as records continue to be broken: Brisbane has had its coldest start to summer in 48 years, and Canberra its coldest in 47 years; Perth clocked its heaviest December rain in 60 years, at 44mm; other parts of WA also broke rainfall records. Australia recorded its eighth wettest November in 112 years and WA its second wettest spring; and Tasmania, ever the individual, recorded its second warmest spring for maximum temperatures in 62 years.
    While brollies and sou'westers rather than bikinis and sun hats have been the order of summer so far, it's too early to give up hope. While eastern and western parts of Australia have a higher than 60 per cent chance of exceeding their average rainfall between now and March, eastern Australia also has at least the same chance of above-average temperatures, too.
    As the Brits would say: "Get in -- you're wet already!"
    Additional reporting: AAP

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